The Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery (American). 2008;90:1143-1159.
doi:10.2106/JBJS.G.01305
© 2008 The Journal of Bone and Joint Surgery, Inc.
An AOA Critical IssueFuture Physician Workforce Requirements: Implications for Orthopaedic Surgery Education*
Edward S. Salsberg, MPA1,
Atul Grover, MD, PhD1,
Michael A. Simon, MD2,
Steven L. Frick, MD3,
Marshall A. Kuremsky, MD3 and
David C. Goodman, MD, MS4
1 Association of American Medical Colleges Center for Workforce Studies, 2450 N Street, N.W., Washington, DC 20037-1126. E-mail address for E.S. Salsberg: esalsberg@aamc.org
2 University of Chicago Medical Center, 5841 South Maryland Avenue, AMB 303 MC 3079, Chicago, IL 60637. E-mail address: msimon@surgery.bsd.uchicago.edu
3 Carolina Medical Center Orthopaedics, 1001 Blythe Boulevard, Suite 602, Charlotte, NC 28203. E-mail address for S.L. Frick: steven@carolinashealthcare.org
4 Dartmouth Medical School, HB 7251, Hanover NH 03755. E-mail address: david.goodman@dartmouth.edu
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Introduction
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In 2006, after many months of consideration, the Association of American Medical Colleges (AAMC) recommended that medical schools in the United States increase their enrollment by 30% by 2015 and that residency positions be increased to accommodate the growth in U.S. medical school graduates1. This recommendation is based on the belief that there will be a substantial physician workforce shortage in the future as the economy continues to expand, physicians retire, and patients continue to demand more specialized care. How this prediction will affect the workforce dynamic of orthopaedic surgery and other specialties must be examined carefully.
Orthopaedic surgery, like most specialties, has an interest in better understanding how many physicians will be required in the specialty in the future. This is not to suggest that there is one single correct number of physicians in a specialty; in fact, the medical system has proven to be highly adaptive. However, . . . [Full Text of this Article]

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